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Zew, rischi al ribasso rimangono forti nell'eurozona

Post n°5 pubblicato il 19 Marzo 2013 da vwtrike
 

Post diffusione dell'indice Zew il quadro che arriva dagli investitori tedeschi conferma la ripresa prospettica per la prima economia d’Europa che dovrebbe beneficiare a partire dall’estate del rafforzamento dell’attivit economica a livello globale, in particolare Usa e Cina, oltre che a un timido recupero dell’area euro. "La vera sfida per la Germania rimane quella di far ripartire i consumi interni, un elemento a cui lo stesso cancelliere, Angela Merkel, guarder con attenzione in vista della tornata elettorale di fine settembre" commenta Vincenzo Longo, market strategist di IG (Londra: - ) . Il calo dell’indicatore relativo all’area euro (scesa a 33,4 punti dai 42,4) "riflette i downside risk che stanno arrivando ancora una volta dall’area periferica, in particolare da Cipro". Sebbene l’isola del mediterraneo non abbia i numeri per influenzare l’area della moneta unica, "l’impasse che sta creando a livello politico-istituzionale sta mettendo pressione ai rendimenti dei titoli di Stato di Italia e Spagna, che vivono una situazione di precariet ". "Continuiamo a guardare con molta preoccupazione a questi due Paesi, che per le diverse situazioni che stanno vivendo (rischi di non governabilit per Roma e elevati livelli di deficit per Madrid) potrebbero essere le prossime vittime della crisi" sottolineano da IG. Intanto sul fronte Cipro, questo pomeriggio è atteso il voto sulla legge per il prelievo forzoso dai conti correnti delle banche cipriote. Secondo Longo in questo momento c’è molta confusione in merito alle soglie e alle percentuali da applicare. Non si esclude che se la legge non superer il voto del Parlamento, Nicosia potrebbe preferire gli aiuti dalla Russia piuttosto che il salvataggio europeo.

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